Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.005711 0.006037 0.006376 0.006755 0.007166 0.007602 0.008098
2026-02-08 0.005141 0.005612 0.006124 0.006725 0.007415 0.008187 0.009122
2026-02-15 0.004797 0.005349 0.005968 0.006720 0.007616 0.008661 0.009988
2026-02-22 0.004487 0.005083 0.005769 0.006623 0.007673 0.008938 0.010605
2026-03-01 0.004238 0.004865 0.005600 0.006536 0.007717 0.009181 0.011178
2026-03-08 0.004067 0.004725 0.005510 0.006531 0.007849 0.009529 0.011897
2026-03-15 0.003825 0.004483 0.005278 0.006329 0.007710 0.009508 0.012109
2026-03-22 0.003712 0.004394 0.005229 0.006352 0.007859 0.009869 0.012865
2026-03-29 0.003635 0.004342 0.005223 0.006427 0.008076 0.010331 0.013796
2026-04-05 0.003507 0.004221 0.005119 0.006364 0.008098 0.010516 0.014329
2026-04-12 0.003413 0.004138 0.005062 0.006359 0.008196 0.010812 0.015048
2026-04-19 0.003308 0.004037 0.004974 0.006307 0.008221 0.010999 0.015607
2026-04-26 0.003276 0.004031 0.005014 0.006433 0.008514 0.011606 0.016908
2026-05-03 0.003189 0.003948 0.004947 0.006406 0.008576 0.011866 0.017654
2026-05-10 0.003116 0.003882 0.004898 0.006401 0.008671 0.012178 0.018517
2026-05-17 0.003019 0.003778 0.004795 0.006311 0.008629 0.012266 0.018984
2026-05-24 0.002930 0.003684 0.004700 0.006230 0.008595 0.012364 0.019476
2026-05-31 0.002871 0.003629 0.004659 0.006225 0.008679 0.012660 0.020367
2026-06-07 0.002757 0.003494 0.004499 0.006036 0.008462 0.012432 0.020222
2026-06-14 0.002715 0.003458 0.004479 0.006058 0.008583 0.012791 0.021269
2026-06-21 0.002689 0.003444 0.004491 0.006128 0.008785 0.013303 0.022686
2026-06-28 0.002626 0.003376 0.004422 0.006069 0.008771 0.013428 0.023301
2026-07-05 0.002582 0.003333 0.004389 0.006064 0.008845 0.013718 0.024306